USA

AK

AL

AR

AZ

CA

CO

CT

DC

DE

FL

GA

HI

IA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

LA

MA

MD

ME

MI

MN

MO

MS

MT

NC

ND

NE

NH

NJ

NM

NV

NY

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VA

VT

WA

WI

WY

Guam

Northern Mariana Islands

Puerto Rico

US Virgin Islands

The nowcast for the whole US is calculated from case reports at the national level. It is not the sum of the state level nowcasts. The nowcast for the whole US does not necessarily agree with the the sum of state level nowcasts.

Parameters

Infection fatality rate = 0.009

Symptom-onset-to-reporting interval:
Distribution: gamma
Mean = 5.95
Shape = 2.2788163

Incubation period:
Distribution: gamma
Mean = 5.89
Shape = 2.4265511

Symmptom-onset-to-death interval:
Distribution: gamma
Mean = 16
Shape = 4

elapsed <- round(as.numeric((proc.time() - start.time)[3]))
sink("log.txt")
cat(as.character(Sys.time()), 
    "\nNowcast for US completed.\nElapsed time =",
    as.character(lubridate::seconds_to_period(elapsed)))
## 2020-10-26 08:05:50 
## Nowcast for US completed.
## Elapsed time = 1H 5M 9S
sink()